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Some problems for conditionalization and reflection
pp. 163-176
Abstrakt
I will present five puzzles which show that rational people can update their degrees of belief in manners that violate Bayesian Conditionalization and van Fraassen's Reflection Principle. I will then argue that these violations of Conditionalization and Reflection are due to the fact that there are two, as yet unrecognized, ways in which the degrees of belief of rational people can develop.
Publication details
Published in:
Arló-Costa Horacio, Hendricks Vincent F., van Benthem Johan (2016) Readings in formal epistemology: sourcebook. Dordrecht, Springer.
Seiten: 163-176
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-20451-2_10
Referenz:
Arntzenius Frank (2016) „Some problems for conditionalization and reflection“, In: H. Arló-Costa, V. F. Hendricks & J. Van Benthem (eds.), Readings in formal epistemology, Dordrecht, Springer, 163–176.